Ice, let me clear it up. Yes, the idea is to buy low and sell high, so next year will most likely be lower than today...lol Why you say, how can I say such statements???
1. Higher interest rates
2. High foreclosures
3. High unemployment
4. Less government bribes (tax credits)
When interest rates are low, it leads to higher home prices. They have an inverse relationship. When intererst rates are low, like they are now relatively speaking, it helps keep home prices up, because it is more affordable, in monthly payment. Home prices were in freefall last year for many reasons, so what does the government do to try to prevent a further decline?
They lower interest rates so that it becomes more affordable to buy. BUT, they cannot keep them at the bottom forever.
EX. Let say, I can afford a $2000 payment, how much house can I buy?
A 500K house @ 6%, would cost about $3000 a month.
A 500K house @ 3%, would cost about $1500 a month.
With this example, I can afford this house at 3%, but not at 6%. Therefore, when rates are low, more people can afford to buy, when interest rates are high, less people can afford to buy, UNLESS the price is lower, to compensate for the high interest rate.
SO, when people (agents) say its a good time to buy because rates are low, it is wrong, its actually bad. 2010, interest rates will rise, many believe this, why, because they have never been lower than they were a couple months ago, they are rising as we speak. AND as they rise, it will put downward pressure on home prices, because less people can afford to buy.... therefore, 2010 will not be a recovery in the housing market, it will be flat or go lower in SOCAL. Thats my theory...lol
No, Im not saying get a higher interest rate... when you buy a house or car, that would be rediculous.
I know exactly what my "NOTE" says, I read every word of it....lol
I hope you understand what im saying.
Dont worry Jose, you wont miss the boat... like many agents will say, if you save 20%, have good credit, stable job... you will be able to buy. Just remember, never rush into making the biggest investment of your life. Good luck.